Alwaght- Following a deadly Saudi Arabian airstrike at a funeral service in Sana'a and alleged missile attacks from the Yemeni coast on the US warships, the developments of Yemen have set to take new course. In first step, it was natural that the Yemeni Ansarullah movement will respond to the Saudi hostilities and in fact firing several missiles into the Saudi Arabian territory was deemed a retaliatory move. But whether Ansarullah’s anti-Saudi measures will see a rise much depends on the process of developments and happenings. Some news reports suggest that the Yemeni movement has obtained new weapons and missiles. Whether it uses them at the present time or delays their use to another time will rely on its operational policies in the battleground.
On the other side, it must be taken into consideration that each of the powers relevant to the Yemeni crisis looks at the conflict from its point of view, as at the same time there are ambiguities about firing missiles from Yemen at the US naval vessels that added to complexity of the conditions. It is still unclear if the US warships has in reality come under attack and if it has taken place who has launched the missile attacks. Ansarullah has denied claims suggesting it fired the rockets at the American warships. This comes while the missile attack carried out by the US that targeted radar sites on the Yemeni coast came in response to the attacks at its naval vessels. So, if there were more precise information available about missiles fired at the US battle ships, now it was easy to analyze the Yemeni issues. Because if Ansarullah has fired the rockets, it was a different case but if they are fired by another group with the aim of dragging the US to Yemen war, it is a different case. If Ansarullah has conducted the missile attack, it is a much uncalculated move unless the movement has made its evaluations and decided that it could even make moves against the US.
At the same time, after a Saudi air raid at a funeral in Sana’a that resulted in killing over 140 Yemenis, there rose a negative picture of the kingdom. Following the fatal raid, the pressures even began to mount on the US for its backing for Saudi Arabia, interventions in Yemen's internal affairs, and use of Washington-supplied weapons against the Yemeni civilians. If Ansarullah, as it has asserted, did not conduct the missile attacks at the US warships, it is very likely the attacks were orchestrated by Washington and Riyadh themselves in a bid to get the Saudis out of the troublesome situation they were caught in following their raiding of the funeral gathering in the Yemeni capital.
Concerning the long-term outlook between Sana’a and Riyadh, we need to know that in earlier 6 wars between the two neighbors the Saudis failed to hold a military upper hand in the face of the Yemenis in general and Ansarullah in particular, and it seems that the current confrontation, too, has no military winner. What today is needed for Yemen is a political settlement according to the Yemenis' demands and without foreign interventions. But with respect to the developments across the world and Yemen, it seems that Yemen crisis day by day moves towards more tensions and clashes inside Yemen and between the regional and transregional powers.
On the one hand there are hopes that a political solution in Yemen eliminates the crisis and on the other hand due to a collection of developments in the region and across the world and because of weakness in the international organizations it does not appear that the Yemeni crisis sees a political or military conclusion in the short run. Meanwhile, it seems that Ansarullah is suffering from weakness in the political work. If in the present conditions, in which Saudis are plagued by passiveness and the Americans are put under strains by the public opinion and the media, Ansarullah takes advantage of the political atmosphere and moves away from military clashes, the situation could go better for it.